Does Reddit have an astroturfing problem? What the data suggests(petervijeh.com)
307 points by p-s-v 15 days ago | 394 comments
tl;dr: Analysis of 51,000+ comments across six knife subreddits found that 5% of active accounts (49 users) produce 11.3% of brand recommendations in "what should I buy" threads, versus 7.9% expected by chance, with concentration reaching 20-31% for three specific brands. However, when the author pulled full Reddit histories of these "brand-loyal" accounts, they looked indistinguishable from regular users: 4.5 years old on average, active in 66 subreddits, and mentioning 7 different knife brands. The data can't distinguish devoted fans from well-prepared paid accounts, though the author leans toward fans.
HN Discussion:
  • •Reddit moderation itself distorts opinion by banning dissenting views, a separate issue from astroturfing
  • ↓Article's indicators for spotting bots are outdated; sophisticated bots now mimic real user patterns
  • ↓Article underestimates astroturfing; obvious cases create a toupee fallacy hiding more sophisticated ones
  • ↓Reddit has had widespread propaganda and bot problems for years beyond just brand astroturfing
  • ↓Criticism of the article's AI-assisted writing style and methodology framing