The original URL for this prediction will no longer be available in 11 years (2011)

	The original URL for this prediction will no longer be available in 11 years (2011)(longbets.org)
	208 points by doubletwoyou 13 days ago \| 100 comments
	tl;dr: In 2011, Jeremy Keith bet Matt Haughey $1,000 that the URL longbets.org/601 would not resolve to its original content by February 22, 2022, arguing link rot makes URLs ephemeral. Haughey countered that maintaining stable URIs is achievable with modest effort and 301 redirects. The winner's stake goes to either Bletchley Park Trust (Keith) or The Internet Archive (Haughey).
	HN Discussion: ↓Keeping URLs alive long-term is achievable with modest effort like tests, static HTML, and redirect rules ↑Link rot is real; other longbets URLs are already offline, supporting Keith's argument ~The http:// protocol itself or domain survival is the real fragile point, not the URL structure ~Large bet stakes create incentive for one party to artificially keep URLs alive, undermining the test •Neutral observations and curiosity about the bet mechanics and related predictions