tl;dr: A Falcon 9 upper stage (2025-010D) from the January 2025 Blue Ghost/Hakuto-R lunar launch is predicted to impact the Moon on August 5, 2026 at ~06:34 UTC, near crater Einstein at 2.43 km/s. Solar radiation pressure makes the exact impact time/location uncertain by seconds and kilometers, and while the flash likely won't be visible from Earth due to the low impact velocity, ejecta near the lunar limb might be observable, and LRO will likely image the resulting ~17m crater afterward.